Professional Statistician Analyzes Beetle-Fire Risk on BHNF
The following is from our Treasurer, Brian Brademeyer, and Friends of the Norbeck. Now we have scientific evidence that the pine beetles do not cause wildfires.
The Norbeck Wild Life Area is currently being logged by the US Forest Service in violation of federal law. Our efforts to protect it by asking President Obama to transfer it to the National Park Service have been ignored.
We will keep you up to date on other ideas to protect this last wilderness area in the Black Hills, only 0.05% of the entire Black Hills.
Charmaine White Face, Coordinator
A message to all members of Friends of the Norbeck
Friends of the Norbeck recently hired professional statistician Grant Foster to look at possible relations between large fires, on the one hand, and weather, logging, and beetle tree-mortality levels on the other. We provided him with a century of data from the Black Hills National Forest, 1910-2009.
On February 10, 2012, Grant completed his analysis, and produced a detailed "white paper" (available from FotN website, 2.7mb pdf). Grant also posted a more "accessible" (i.e., less mathematical) online version of this analysis at his Climate Blog Open Mind, entitled:
that is available for public comments. Readers are encouraged to read this blog-post on this important Black Hills issue, which reaches conclusions that will astound those believing that "beetles lead to inevitable tinderbox conditions" and catastrophic fire.
Visit Friends of the Norbeck at: http://friends-of-norbeck.ning.com/?xg_source=msg_mes_network
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